Unlike last year’s Oscars, most of the major categories are extremely difficult to accurately predict this year. After correctly predicting seven of eight winners out of the major categories last year, I am predicting some wild upsets this time around. The races are just that close. But I do know that the Academy will spread the Oscar love around again and that host Seth McFarlane will no doubt offend someone in the audience. Here’s a look at my predictions for this year’s ceremony.
Best Original Screenplay (1 of 8)
"Zero Dark Thirty"
"Moonrise Kingdom" was a nice little movie, but has gotten zero buzz during award season, so it has no chance of winning. The same goes for "Flight," which made alcohol addiction mesmerizing, but doesn't feature anything groundbreaking. "Amour" is a sweet story of an old French couple dealing with death, but is more of an actor's showcase than a writer's one.
That leaves "Django Unchained" and "Zero Dark Thirty." "Django" was the only film of the five that literally had me leaning forward in my seat so that I could catch every juicy bit of dialogue, but I'm afraid Academy voters may feel that it's just more of director Quentin Tarantino's trademark violence and revenge. So "Zero Dark Thirty" writer Mark Boal will win for putting together a taut and suspenseful thriller, and although it will be his second screenplay Oscar, it will be the first he really deserves (the other was for "The Hurt Locker").
Should win - "Django Unchained"
Will win - "Zero Dark Thirty"
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